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Parlays combine multiple bets into one. While they offer larger potential payouts, they are also harder to win. The majority of parlay bettors lose money over time. These recommendations are based on our model's edge calculations and do not guarantee profit.
Parlay Recommendations
AI-optimized 2-leg parlays. Correlation-adjusted. Quarter-Kelly sized. Max 2% bankroll per parlay.
How the Optimizer Works
1. Filter: Only legs with 70%+ model probability, verified ELO, and medium+ confidence qualify.
2. Correlate: Same-match legs are forbidden. Cross-tour doubles have lowest correlation (rho ~0.02).
3. Score: EV x confidence x round bonus x correlation penalty. SAFE tier requires 55%+ joint prob and 5%+ EV.
4. Size: Quarter-Kelly sizing with 2% bankroll cap. Max 6% daily parlay exposure.